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Oscarxena's past 3 days picks, analysis and results



8/3/08

Colorado/Florida Over 9 1/2 +1.06 (3 Unit Play) - I had a winner last night playing these two teams Under the total but I think we will see some runs here today. The Rockies will have Glendon Rusch on
the mound who has been impressive since returning to the rotation but he still has a 6.23 Road ERA this year in 21 2/3 innings of work with a 1.43 WHIP. He has had a couple of relief outings against
Florida this year and was really lit up so Florida should be able to score against him today. The Marlins will counter with Scott Olsen who has started to drop off from his good start and in his career he
has really struggled against the Rockies as he is 1-2 with a 11.09 ERA. The Rockies are a much better team when taking on a left handed starting pitcher and so they should be able to score here as
well. Today's HP umpire is Rob Drake who has went Over the total 14 out of 26 times this year and Drake has umpired two career starts by Olsen and both of those starts went Over the total. The
Rockies are 5-3-1 to the Over in their past 9 games with Drake while the Marlins are 8-2 to the Over in their last 10 games with Drake. I think we should get 10 runs at least in this game and that will
cash the ticket for us.

Washington +1.11 (3 Unit Play) -  I am not really sure how oddsmakers can continue to make Cincinnati a road favorite as they are just playing horrible baseball right now as they have dropped seven
of their last eight games and appear to be playing out the string right now. The Reds will look to Johnny Cueto today to get them a victory but Cueto has really been free falling lately as he is 0-2 with a
6.75 ERA in his last four starts and on the road this year he has a 5.70 ERA in 53 2/3 innings with a 1.55 WHIP. I really like what Washington did on Thursday as they dumped Lopez, LoDuca and Estrada
who were doing nothing for them all year and committed to their younger players to get them some experience and they have responded by scoring 15 runs in their past two games. The Nationals will
give the ball to Colin Balester who is making only his sixth start but he had a nice outing against the powerful Phillies lineup on Tuesday and I trust him a lot more than I do the Reds and Cueto right
now. Today's HP Umpire is Mike Estabrook who so far this year has went 9-5 for the home team and I will take a shot on the home underdog Nationals here today.

NY Mets -1.19 (2.5 Unit Play) & NY Mets -1 1/2 Runs +1.35 (1.5 Unit Play) - The Mets bullpen is atrocious but I have to take a shot with them here today as Oliver Perez has been pitching like Johan
Santana lately. Perez has a major league best 1.36 ERA in six starts since June 29th and he has always pitched well against the Astros in his career as he is 2-1 with a 2.76 ERA. He will be opposed on
the mound by Randy Wolf who is making his second start for the Astros since being traded from the Padres and he would like to forget his first one as he was beat up by the Brewers. Wolf has pitched
pretty well against the Mets in his career going 10-5 with a 3.35 ERA but the big reason for the two plays above is because of today's HP umpire Chuck Meriweather. He is 11-10 for the road team so
far this year and he has a big strike zone which should really benefit Perez here. In fact Perez has started three times with Meriweather and won all three games while Wolf has started twice with
Meriweather and lost both games. I am splitting up the plays into the money line and run line here.

Those are my Sunday Selections and I will be back on Monday with more winning selections. Best of luck to everyone today and enjoy the games.

Oscarxena Sports



8/2/08

Colorado/Florida Under 9 1/2 -1.13 (3 Unit Play) - The Marlins are still in somewhat of an offensive funk as although they scored 12 runs on Thursday they are still not hitting the way they have been
most of the season. They will be taking on Valerio De Los Santos who will be making only his second start since 2000 but he did not pitch poorly last start but was done in by bad control and I think he
will be more on tonight with normal rest and knowing that he is a mainstay in the rotation at least for a little while. The Marlins will answer with Ricky Nolasco who has really been their best pitcher all
year but has not pitched well in his two outings coming out of the All-Star break but before that he was outstanding going 9-1 with a 2.84 ERA in 13 starts before the break. Nolasco only has one career
performance against the Rockies but it was a good one as he pitched eight shutout innings at Coors Field but that was back in 2006. Today's HP umpire Bob Davidson has shown a big Under tendency
going 14-8 to the Under so far this year and I think the heavy air in Florida today will cause this game to stay Under the total.

Cincinnati/Washington Over 9 +1.19 (3 Unit Play) - I know a lot of people would question this play but I like this game Over here tonight. The Nationals have made a commitment to their younger players
and it seemed to work in the first game as they won 5-2 yesterday against the Reds. The wind is blowing out West at 10 MPH today so that should help our Over cause here and getting the nice plus
price is a bonus as well. The Reds will have Josh Fogg on the mound and their were rumors that the Rockies were trying to get him back but that did not happen before the trading deadline. Fogg on the
year has a 8.06 ERA on the road in 22 1/3 innings and a 1.43 WHIP and although his career numbers are pretty good against Washington I think they can hit him here tonight. The Nationals will respond
with hard luck starter Jason Bergmann who has seen his team go 2-13 in his starts but to no fault of his own and he has a respectable 4.12 ERA at home in 43 2/3 innings of work. The main reason for
the Over play is tonight's HP umpire Sam Holbrook has one of the tightest strike zones in the major leagues and has went Over the total 14 times out of 22 games umpired. I like the Over here tonight.

Baltimore/Seattle Under 7 1/2 -1.16 (4 Unit Play) -  My last play today will be on another total and it will be Under in this game tonight. The Orioles will hand the ball to their best starter Jeremy Guthrie
who does not get the credit that he deserves as he keeps Baltimore in every game and so far this year on the road he has a 3.30 ERA in 76 1/3 innings of work with a 1.15 WHIP. Guthrie has went 3-1
over his last six starts and held four of those opponents to two earned runs or less. The Mariners will have their ace on the mound in Felix Hernandez and he has recorded a 3.47 ERA at home this year
in 72 2/3 innings with a 1.29 WHIP. Hernandez has already faced the Orioles twice this year and he has not had a decision but has only allowed two earned runs in 15 innings of work. The HP umpire for
tonight's contest is Paul Emmel who has went Under the total 14 out of 21 times this year and I think it sets up perfect for a low scoring game in Seattle tonight.

Those are my Saturday selections and I will return on Sunday with more winning selections. Best of luck to everyone on your plays today and enjoy the games as well as your weekend.

Oscarxena Sports



8/1/08

LA Dodgers -1.12 (3 Unit Play) - The Dodgers dropped the opener of this critical four game series but made a huge acquisition in obtaining Manny Ramirez to try and help their offense. I am not a Manny
fan by any means but one thing the guy can do is hit and he should be a huge asset to the Dodgers down the stretch. Ramirez is expected to be in the lineup tonight so we will see if he helps or not. The
Dodgers will have rookie Clayton Kershaw on the mound and he has been pitching pretty well at home this year as he has a 3.46 ERA in 26 innings with a 1.42 WHIP. This will be Kershaw's first career
appearance against the Diamondbacks but he is off of his first career win on Sunday against Washington. The Diamondbacks will have Randy Johnson on the mound and he has been pitching very
well over his last few starts but he was struggling badly before that and could revert back tonight as his teams are only 4-6 the past 10 games against the Dodgers. Tonight's HP umpire Eric Cooper is
11-10 for the home team this year but more importantly Johnson has had six career starts with Cooper and went 1-5 while this will be Kershaw's first career appearance with the umpire. I like the
Dodgers here tonight.

Milwaukee/Atlanta Under 9 1/2 -1.21 (3 Unit Play) - The Brewers fly into Atlanta with disappointment all over them as they failed to win a game at home against their main division rival, the Chicago Cubs
and find themselves five games out of first place. The Brewers will hand the ball to veteran Jeff Suppan who has really struggled lately and has pitched poorly at Turner Field but the Braves offense is
just a shell of what they had been as they trades away Mark Teixeira this week and Chipper Jones is on the DL. I think Suppan will come out and show his veteran leadership with a very well pitched
game this evening. The Braves are calling up Chuck James from the minor leagues and he has pitched very well in Triple A as he is 4-5 with a 2.48 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. He has also pitched one career
game against Milwaukee and won the game which went Under the total. The Brewers have repeatedly failed to cash in scoring opportunities this week and I look for that trend to continue here tonight.
These teams have met six times so far this year and every game has went Under the total. Play this one Under the posted total tonight.

Chicago White Sox/Kansas City Under 9 1/2 -1.05 (3 Unit Play) - My last play tonight will be on this game to go Under the total. The White Sox are off a disappointing series in which they dropped three
out of four to the Twins and they are holding on by a thread to the AL Central lead. The White Sox will hand the ball to Javier Vazquez who has struggled lately going 0-4 with a 6.23 ERA in his past six
starts but he has been the victim of some big innings and has looked to have really good stuff as he is striking out a lot of batters. On the year Vazquez has recorded 130 SO's while only allowing 38
walks so it is obvious he still is on his game. In his career he has pitched well against Kansas City as he is 6-2 with a 3.25 ERA in 11 starts so he has shown he can pitch against this team. The Royals
will give the ball to Luke Hochevar who started the season off well and then went into a slump but he appears to be coming out of it somewhat as he is off of a nice game against Tampa Bay and
overall at home his ERA is a run lower at 4.33 then his overall ERA of 5.38. Kansas City may still be without David DeJesus tonight and I look for a low scoring game.

Those are my Friday Selections and I will return on Saturday with more winning selections. Best of luck to everyone and have a safe and happy weekend and as always enjoy the games.

Oscarxena Sports
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